BNP could get 45.6% votes, Jamaat 33.5% if AL skips polls: Survey

If the Awami League does not participate in the upcoming elections, the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) could secure 45.6% of the votes, according to a survey conducted by the private firm Innovision Consulting. In the same scenario, Jamaat-e-Islami would receive 33.5%, and the National Citizen Party (NCP) would get 4.7% of the votes. Additionally, Islami Andolan Bangladesh and the Jatiya Party would receive 3.8% and 2.1%, respectively.

The findings were revealed on Wednesday (24 September) at the National Archives Auditorium in Dhaka during the presentation of Innovision Consulting’s report titled “People’s Electoral Thoughts.”

The survey covered a total sample of 10,413 respondents, of which 69.5% were from rural areas and 30.5% from urban areas, all of whom are eligible voters. The sample spanned 64 districts across eight divisions and 521 primary sampling units.

At the local level, 8.2% of respondents expressed satisfaction with BNP, while 13.7% were satisfied with Jamaat. For NCP, 9.1% expressed satisfaction, whereas only 6.3% were satisfied with the Awami League.

Alongside satisfaction levels, respondents also shared their dissatisfaction with political parties. About 14.5% were completely dissatisfied with BNP’s activities, while 14.1% expressed complete dissatisfaction with Jamaat. For NCP, 21.5% of respondents were completely dissatisfied, and 20.2% expressed complete dissatisfaction with the Awami League.

The survey further revealed that 65.5% of voters intend to vote based on candidates’ qualifications, while only 14% would vote based on party symbols.

The results were presented by Rubaiyath Sarwar, Managing Director of Innovision Consulting. The event also featured discussions by Dr. Asif M. Shahin, Professor at the University of Dhaka; Fahim Mashroor, Co-coordinator of Voice for Reform; Shafiqur Rahman, Executive Director of Brain; and Zyma Islam, Senior Reporter at The Daily Star.